Which is Harder: To Know the Past or To Predict the Future

Miscellaneous Idea and Concept. Something to thinkalong with what we are somewhat sure of in the
about, not relating to any particular topic, event orpast, such as the existence of Dinosaurs from fossil
person. I would like to begin this quarter review ofrecords, etc. we have pieced together much of what
thoughts on both the past and the future. First itwas, we know what is to a large extent, except for
appears to be easier to predict the future than tothe provided misdirection and secrets due to military,
guesstimate the past. For instance predicting theAlly and National Security. We know how people think
future seems to be much easier than that of theand what kinds of things they desire in the way of
work of archeologists trying to piece together whatMaslow’s hierarchy of needs and the wants
happened based on clues and forensics. And to thisand desires of all human beings, through cultural,
point I wish to bring to point a few recent works.parental and societal nurturing and of course those
One is the work done by Stephen Wolfram whereitems pre-imprinted in the DNA and organic life
he shows how simple programs develop extremelyprogramming.
complex results. If we study the concept of theWe know that innovation or invention is introduced
Greek Gods and their roles, we may find that thewhen the desire for it or the necessity is there. For
world as we know it started from extreme simplicity.instance in a war, you have to win or you lose all, so
Perhaps several programs which have been runningthe necessity to out innovate is key. If you need
and interacting for 5.5 billion years. Now withoutpower, water, food, transportation again you will see
getting to far out and therefore such commentsinnovation. If you can make money by entertaining
being dismissed by those of extreme religiouspeople; you have the need for innovation and a way
convictions of any sect. This comment would not into use it to make money therefore increased funding
fact preclude the idea of a god or delete the idea ofto provide it. If there is a business, which needs to
the Greeks theories and beliefs in multiple gods, butbe more efficient you will find innovation. For
rather open up dialogue past that of absolutes weinstance; robotics in manufacturing to replace people,
see in major religions and literal interpretations ofadvancements in aerodynamics to move people,
those writings. Let us take the simplicity of life at theadvancements in medicine to save people. Industry
most basic levels of RNA, DNA, Proteins, etc. Theoften propels innovations as do smart governments
easiest way to study something is from thewho can see where we are and where we want to
beginning, thus if we are wondering how thebe.
complexity of life (species and niches) actually cameThus if you study where we are, where we are
about here on this planet it might be easiest to knowheaded you can often predict categories of needed
such an answer by creating life.improvements as well as severe pit falls. Thus
[predicting the future is relatively easy. Both short and
Now this could be artificial life, add on artificiallong-term future can be predicted as long as your
intelligence interacting with human life or otherpre-conceived notions are reality based in your
intelligent species of the planetcurrent period observations. If you look at the people
[advising the Presidents Administration you can see
It would be smart to figure out more ways towe are all in good hands and if you can see the
interact with our intelligent species on Earth tomethods to their madness as they advise such
communicate. Such as we have done withadministrations you can see the brilliance of their
Chimpanzees through sign language or with Dolphins.sense of direction as they battle social norms, status
But what is most interesting is in our “Politicallyquos and dying technologies. It is an art and a science
Correct World” we have not been honestto build for the future without over stepping
enough with our own human kind and perhaps theboundaries of continuity. Incremental Change is best
notion of working towards a closer world of mankindand without disrupting the natural flow of things. Too
ought to be figured into the idea. If we create lifemuch disruptive technology is not good. The flow
and watch it evolve we can then understand thesemust be obtain to continue to serve free men
theories better of how we describe the past better.otherwise you end up turning on the “Lunch
Studying and predicting the future is much easierLight” for those we are trying to serve. The
than studying and forensically outlining the past oronward movement of man, requires careful planning
past events. Surely one can get close lookingas if a three-dimensional chess board;
backwards, but not as close as one who has studied[
the future based on the current or present,We must continue to study the flows and the
understanding the current perception of the past intofuture, which is much easier than you might think.
the equation. In this regard I would like to point outThere are so many factors, such as trade, population
Isaac Asimov and his trilogy as an example of somemigration, population growth, Industry sector
of what we are working on today. Also the lifetimerotations, cycles of weather, trading partners, wars,
journals of Nicola Tesla and his ideas of thevoting trends, infrastructure depreciation, crime,
automaton, ELF work and other predictions of thecapital flow, stock markets, national security, politics,
future seem to have predicted quite closely ourreligious undertones, law, taxation, energy, natural
current future.resources, environment, health, language, education,
I like to think that I myself studying differenttransportation, communication, distribution and
technologies can find clues to the future based oncurrency, just to name a few, which must be studied
current observations along with those newestand must fit together. This is why you need experts
innovations and their potential uses. Also if you lookand well-rounded individuals with multi-disciplines of as
at Arthur C Clark and all his ideas, it seems that muchmany and more items listed and with such a team of
of those are now becoming reality all of which seemdedicated thinkers all with the common goal the
to be combinations of all past innovations andtasks are not really that daunting although to many
thoughts. Many of these predictions in the form ofmay appear to be un-doable.
fictional work have come true. GeosynchronousAlthough since you will be creating the future it may
Satellite communication (Iridium), cold fusion, modernnot be as important to know the future, but if you
Alchemy, etc., he once said: "To predict the futureare going where mankind looks to be headed and for
we need logic, but we also need faith andthe right reasons and you are ready to mitigate the
imagination, which can sometimes defy logic itself."negatives by recognizing them and working to use
Arthur C. Clarke. Nicola Tesla had nearly as muchthose potential weaknesses as strengths then you
written predictions as Galileo, Einstein, Copernicus, Dawill be able to get to where you are going. Now as
Vinci, Newton, etc. And today we have somefar as the past is concerned, it has occurred
incredible people in our era watching, inventing,previously and as we are in a linear time trap in that
innovating, creating and inventing. Some of thesewe cannot fix those issues or even be sure exactly
living intellectuals have made some enormouswhat had happened, we should form a realistic and
predictions, which if and when they come true will beprobable estimation of the past and study the
a wonderful accomplishment for mankind.trends, flows, cycles, grids, programs, of the present
As a matter of fact predicting the future with a littleand most recent past of which we can verify and
knowledge and observation is relatively easy. Havingmove to steer the great ship of mankind on the
studied the great explorers of the past and famousdestiny to the future. Just a thought; any comments
archeologists like Charles Leaky, it is interesting howon any of the subjects mentioned, any other
much we have learned, but how little there isperspectives or points of view, please share them
available in the way of clues. Charles Darwin had lotswith us.
to say also and many times what we see today